1. ( m-1)/(M-1)
2 从贝叶斯公式P(甲)=0.25×0.05/[0.25×0.05+0.35×0.04+0.4×0.02]≈0.36232
P(乙)=0.35×0.04/[0.25×0.05+0.35×0.04+0.4×0.02]≈0.4058
P(丙)=0.4×0.02/[0.25×0.05+0.35×0.04+0.4×0.02]≈0.23188
3,F(x)=1-(1+x)e^(-x). 密度函数f(x)=F′(x)=xe^(-x) x≥0. f(x)=0 x<0.
P(x≤1)=F(1)=1-2/e≈0.26424